Monday, December 27, 2004
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Can we design a better future for humanity?
Designing the World's Future
Jan Hearthstone
Today,
the future of most of the people, and indeed the future of the whole
world, is decided by only a few, who, in most cases, do not even
represent anybody else, but themselves and their groups. Thus no matter
what most people's wishes that would regard their future might be,
those wishes are doomed to non-realization for a lack of representation
and consideration by those who actually do influence the course of
future events.
This
unsatisfactory state of affairs could be remedied by creating a model
of an ideal Earth, accessible and inputtable by virtually anyone who
could use a computer, in which all the various ideas and wishes that
the people participating in contributing to maintaining of such a model
might have about their futures would be synchronized with all the
knowledge that we have about the Earth and of social processes. This
model would be continuously and dynamically being created by people at
the "grass root" level, and thus would actually represent the combined
and synchronized wished for futures of all of the participants, rather
than what a possible haphazard design of what only a few might want
would be.
Most
disputes and problems that occur in this world today are solved (if
they ever do get solved at all) unsatisfactorily, because in most cases
the parties involved have different ideas about what their mutual
coexistence in the future should be, and have very limited chances for
resolving differences constructively, because, in most cases, the
negotiating process is conducted by power entities who might not really
wish for a satisfactory outcome that could even be contrary to their
partisan interests. Sadly enough, that a war is good for business still
holds true, - big business benefits by wars, people who are busy with
fighting each other are easier to exploit. Therefore it is easy to
reason that big business that drives our present day globally dominant
culture is not really interested in making peace; the suspicion could
be held easily that the opposite is true.
The
model, continuously worked and improved upon by all those involved in
disputes would be helpful in solving those disputes. Naturally enough,
not two opinions of what would be optimal for everybody would probably
be identical ever, but the model would serve for the purpose of
deciding what the most likely outcome of particular actions would be,
and why some ideas for improvements should be better than some other
ideas.
Naturally
enough, experts from all fields of human enterprise and any
non-generalists, non-specialists should be able to contribute their
ideas to the model, and because this planet is such a complex gestalt,
the model should be inputted by as many diversely minded people as
possible. This model, in essence, would function as an always in
session, permanently held "round table" for all those who are concerned
about the welfare of the world. The main advantage of this model, in
comparison to existing ways of settling inter-group disputes, would be
its accessibility by anyone, not only by representatives of factions
currently in power, without the exclusion of any minorities. This model
could become a universal learning and teaching tool from which people
could get informed about what issues might be connected with their
respective desires, and suggest ways of how to get closer to theirs
ideals without inconveniencing any neighbors.
At
first it might seem that an existence and maintenance of such a model
would be a colossal undertaking that would require a huge institute
with the latest model supercomputer and a staff the size of an army,
but with today's state of technology this would not be necessary at
all. The model could be started with only a handful of people who would
link up their computers to enhance the computers power (in effect thus
creating a "supercomputer" - existing systems are already there, using
Linux OS that makes this possible), and then, gradually, with more
people (generalists and specialists alike) joining the project and
sharing their data bases (Shared File System), the whole Earth
population would be eventually represented in the model. The
coordination of the different fields of expertise and knowledge could
be done by ad hoc committees that could be overseen by input from the
ongoing discussions. Many basic functions of the model could be done
automatically by customized programs that would develop with time.
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